BOS
BOS
56.8%
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BAL
BAL
43.2%
SP: Garrett Crochet (LHP) 3.12 ERA · 30.5% K
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4.16 ERA · 23.2% K SP: Shane Baz (RHP)
Game Day Weather 11°F | Wind: 21 mph | Humidity: 59% HR suppressed 6%
Projected Lineups & Player Edges
Running 2,000 Monte Carlo simulations...
# BOS Lineup AVG OPS HR Best Edge
1 Trevor Story
SS
0.245 0.713 21 —
2 Roman Anthony
OF
0.264 0.798 19 —
3 Jarren Duran
OF
0.263 0.778 18 —
4 Wilyer Abreu
OF
0.245 0.768 21 —
5 Willson Contreras
1B
0.248 0.773 23 —
6 Romy Gonzalez
1B, 2B
0.265 0.750 13 —
7 Ceddanne Rafaela
2B, OF
0.254 0.712 17 —
8 Marcelo Mayer
3B
0.249 0.710 13 —
9 Carlos Narvaez
C
0.227 0.675 12 —
# BAL Lineup AVG OPS HR Best Edge
1 Dylan Beavers
OF
0.241 0.721 12 —
2 Gunnar Henderson
SS
0.274 0.837 26 —
3 Pete Alonso
1B
0.254 0.831 38 —
4 Jordan Westburg
3B
0.258 0.769 24 —
5 Taylor Ward
OF
0.245 0.771 27 —
6 Adley Rutschman
C
0.254 0.756 17 —
7 Samuel Basallo
C
0.247 0.743 18 —
8 Colton Cowser
OF
0.234 0.742 21 —
9 Jackson Holliday
2B
0.253 0.740 15 —
Home Run Threats
Taylor Ward
21%
Pete Alonso
20%
Wilyer Abreu
20%
Willson Contreras
19%
Samuel Basallo
17%
Best Bets
Simulating 2,000 games...
BOS Batters vs Shane Baz
BatterPAHHRHR%KK%BBAVG
Roman Anthony 15 5 0 — 3 — 1 .357
Jarren Duran 5 1 0 — 2 — 1 .250
Trevor Story 7 2 0 — 1 — 1 .400
Willson Contreras 12 3 1 — 2 — 1 .300
Wilyer Abreu 15 3 1 — 3 — 2 .250
Romy Gonzalez 14 3 1 — 4 — 1 .230
Marcelo Mayer 8 2 0 — 1 — 0 .285
Carlos Narvaez 12 3 0 — 3 — 1 .300
Ceddanne Rafaela 5 1 0 — 1 — 0 .200
BAL Batters vs Garrett Crochet
BatterPAHHRHR%KK%BBAVG
Jackson Holliday 13 2 0 — 3 — 1 .181
Jordan Westburg 15 3 1 — 3 — 1 .214
Adley Rutschman 7 2 0 — 2 — 1 .333
Gunnar Henderson 8 2 1 — 3 — 1 .285
Pete Alonso 6 1 1 — 1 — 0 .166
Taylor Ward 13 2 0 — 4 — 1 .166
Colton Cowser 9 1 0 — 3 — 1 .125
Samuel Basallo 14 2 1 — 6 — 1 .153
Dylan Beavers 12 2 1 — 3 — 2 .222