BOS
BOS
56.8%
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BAL
BAL
43.2%
SP: Garrett Crochet (LHP) 3.12 ERA · 30.5% K
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4.16 ERA · 23.2% K SP: Shane Baz (RHP)
Game Day Weather 11°F | Wind: 21 mph | Humidity: 59% HR suppressed 6%
Projected Lineups & Player Edges
Running 2,000 Monte Carlo simulations...
# BOS Lineup AVG OPS HR Best Edge
1 Roman Anthony
OF
0.264 0.798 19
2 Jarren Duran
OF
0.263 0.778 18
3 Trevor Story
SS
0.245 0.713 21
4 Willson Contreras
1B
0.248 0.773 23
5 Wilyer Abreu
OF
0.245 0.768 21
6 Romy Gonzalez
1B, 2B
0.265 0.750 13
7 Marcelo Mayer
3B
0.249 0.710 13
8 Carlos Narvaez
C
0.227 0.675 12
9 Ceddanne Rafaela
2B, OF
0.254 0.712 17
# BAL Lineup AVG OPS HR Best Edge
1 Jackson Holliday
2B
0.253 0.740 15
2 Jordan Westburg
3B
0.258 0.769 24
3 Adley Rutschman
C
0.254 0.756 17
4 Gunnar Henderson
SS
0.274 0.837 26
5 Pete Alonso
1B
0.254 0.831 38
6 Taylor Ward
OF
0.245 0.771 27
7 Colton Cowser
OF
0.234 0.742 21
8 Samuel Basallo
C
0.247 0.743 18
9 Dylan Beavers
OF
0.241 0.721 12
Home Run Threats
Taylor Ward
21%
Pete Alonso
20%
Wilyer Abreu
20%
Willson Contreras
19%
Samuel Basallo
17%
Best Bets
Simulating 2,000 games...
BOS Batters vs Shane Baz
BatterPAHHRKBBAVG
Roman Anthony 15 5 0 3 1 .357
Jarren Duran 5 1 0 2 1 .250
Trevor Story 7 2 0 1 1 .400
Willson Contreras 12 3 1 2 1 .300
Wilyer Abreu 15 3 1 3 2 .250
Romy Gonzalez 14 3 1 4 1 .230
Marcelo Mayer 8 2 0 1 0 .285
Carlos Narvaez 12 3 0 3 1 .300
Ceddanne Rafaela 5 1 0 1 0 .200
BAL Batters vs Garrett Crochet
BatterPAHHRKBBAVG
Jackson Holliday 13 2 0 3 1 .181
Jordan Westburg 15 3 1 3 1 .214
Adley Rutschman 7 2 0 2 1 .333
Gunnar Henderson 8 2 1 3 1 .285
Pete Alonso 6 1 1 1 0 .166
Taylor Ward 13 2 0 4 1 .166
Colton Cowser 9 1 0 3 1 .125
Samuel Basallo 14 2 1 6 1 .153
Dylan Beavers 12 2 1 3 2 .222